Predictive Air Pollution Assessment Using Matrix Algebra And GIS/GPS in Aguleri Anambra State

Leonard Chukwuemeka Anyika, Chidi Obi

ABSTRACT. This study assessed the air pollution loads of sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter (PM10) from Aguleri in Anambra State of Nigeria using matrix algebra and the geographical information system (GIS)/global positioning system (GPS) attachment to MATLAB. The pollutant values of SO2 and NO2 were obtained using the Crowcon Gas Monitor Model CE 89/336/EEC, while the PM10 values were obtained with the Crowcon Particulate Monitor Model No.1000 with the serial number 298621. The pollution characteristics of the study area were simulated using the polynomial expression yi = k + k1x1 + k2x2 + k3x3 +… knxn.. The predictive parameter constants, k, were determined with the solution to the simultaneous equations arising from the polynomial expressions using matrix algebra. MATLAB 7.9 curve fitting software was used to produce associated model equations from the fitted curves for the variations of SO2, NO2 and PM10 as a function of locations in Aguleri for both rainy and dry seasons. The evaluation of pollution models used for the study showed that constants from the fitted curves do not closely match constants from ab initio calculations. The corresponding coordinates in both GIS/GPS contour and surface plots revealed a pollution distribution concentration of 50% in Aguleri. The results revealed that the stations in Aguleri had a satisfactory air pollution index rating. This study serves as an improvement to air quality studies and a veritable tool for air quality management and policymaking.

Keywords: air pollutants; particulate matter; polynomial equations; seasons; software.

Cite

ALSE and ACS Style
Anyika, L.C.; Obi, C. Predictive Air Pollution Assessment Using Matrix Algebra and GIS/GPS in Aguleri Anambra State. Journal of Applied Life Sciences and Environment 2024, 57 (3), 437-458.
https://doi.org/10.46909/alse-573146

AMA Style
Anyika LC, Obi C. Predictive Air Pollution Assessment Using Matrix Algebra and GIS/GPS in Aguleri Anambra State. Journal of Applied Life Sciences and Environment. 2024; 57 (3): 437-458.
https://doi.org/10.46909/alse-573146

Chicago/Turabian Style
Anyika, Leonard Chukwuemeka, and Chidi Obi. 2024. “Predictive Air Pollution Assessment Using Matrix Algebra and GIS/GPS in Aguleri Anambra State” Journal of Applied Life Sciences and Environment 57, no. 3: 437-458. 
https://doi.org/10.46909/alse-573146

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Predictive Air Pollution Assessment Using Matrix Algebra And GIS/GPS in Aguleri Anambra State

Leonard Chukwuemeka ANYIKA1 and Chidi OBI2*

1Department of Industrial Chemistry, Madonna University Elele Campus, Rivers State Nigeria
2Department of Pure and Industrial Chemistry, University of Port Harcourt, Rivers State Nigeria

*Correspondence: chidi.obi@uniport.edu.ng

Received: Jun. 02, 2024. Revised: Jul. 22, 2024. Accepted: Jul. 31, 2024. Published online: Nov. 18, 2024

ABSTRACT. This study assessed the air pollution loads of sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter (PM10) from Aguleri in Anambra State of Nigeria using matrix algebra and the geographical information system (GIS)/global positioning system (GPS) attachment to MATLAB. The pollutant values of SO2 and NO2 were obtained using the Crowcon Gas Monitor Model CE 89/336/EEC, while the PM10 values were obtained with the Crowcon Particulate Monitor Model No.1000 with the serial number 298621. The pollution characteristics of the study area were simulated using the polynomial expression yi = k + k1x1 + k2x2 + k3x3 +… knxn.. The predictive parameter constants, k, were determined with the solution to the simultaneous equations arising from the polynomial expressions using matrix algebra. MATLAB 7.9 curve fitting software was used to produce associated model equations from the fitted curves for the variations of SO2, NO2 and PM10 as a function of locations in Aguleri for both rainy and dry seasons. The evaluation of pollution models used for the study showed that constants from the fitted curves do not closely match constants from ab initio calculations. The corresponding coordinates in both GIS/GPS contour and surface plots revealed a pollution distribution concentration of 50% in Aguleri. The results revealed that the stations in Aguleri had a satisfactory air pollution index rating. This study serves as an improvement to air quality studies and a veritable tool for air quality management and policymaking.

Keywords: air pollutants; particulate matter; polynomial equations; seasons; software.

 

INTRODUCTION

Air pollution is a global phenomenon that has gradually distorted the Earth’s climate, leading to the greenhouse effect, acid rain, flooding, high temperatures, death of aquatic species, and disease spread (Abdul-Lateef et al., 2021; Abulude et al., 2024; Chengyue et al., 2021; Ilmas et al., 2018; Omokpariola et al., 2024; Tella and Balogun, 2022). Abdul-Lateef et al. (2021) reported that according to the World Health Organization (WHO), ambient and indoor air pollution have significantly increased mortality and morbidity rates, especially in developing countries. The WHO (2022) reported that the combined effects of ambient and household air pollution are associated with 6.7 million premature deaths annually, with an estimated 4.2 million premature deaths recorded worldwide in 2019, 89% of which occurred in low- and middle-income countries, particularly in the WHO South-East Asia and Western Pacific Regions.

The current population pressure in Nigeria, alongside urbanisation, modern agricultural practices, and industrialisation, has rapidly metamorphosed into air pollution (Abulude et al., 2024; Omokpariola et al., 2024). Abdulraheem et al. (2023) observed an increasing pattern in pollutants such as carbon monoxide (CO), oxides of nitrogen (NOx), particulate matter of 2.5 micrometres in diameter (PM2.5), particulate matter of 2.5 micrometres in diameter (PM10), sulphur dioxide (SO2), ammonia (NH3) and non-methane volatile organic compounds arising from the population surge in Nigeria from 1980 to 2020. The total emissions such as CO, NOx, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NH3 and NMVOC recorded increased from 1736 to 6210 Gg, 143 to 338 Gg, 126 to 551 Gg, 171 to 717 Gg, 19 to 60 Gg, 4 to 28 Gg and 471 to 1587 Gg, respectively. The author reported that emissions from wood fuel, transportation, and municipal waste are the major sources contributing to 63%, 16%, and 15% of the total CO emissions (Abdulraheem et al., 2023). Environmental pollution modelling is a numerical tool used to describe the causal relationships between emission, discharge, and fluxes of various kinds through the natural environmental matrix. Such tools are of considerable importance in the agricultural field due to the overwhelming influence of land and water use for sustainable development (Lokeshwari et al., 2014).

The agricultural non-point source (AGNPS) pollution model was developed to analyse non-point source pollution in agricultural watersheds. Within this framework, run-off characteristics and transport processes of sediments and nutrients can be simulated for each geographical map cell routed. This permits the run-off, sedimentation, encrustations and erosion in each cell in the watershed to be determined or simulated (Luo et al., 2023; Zhu et al., 2020). Thus, AGNPS can identify sources contributing to a potential pollution challenge and prioritise those locations where remedial measures could be initiated to improve land use quality. Such modelling can be applied to air pollution studies by the incorporation of a geographic information system (GIS), global positioning service (GPS), and remote or proximate sensing (Borah et al., 2024; Firouraghi et al., 2022; Khaslan et al., 2024; Thakur et al., 2017; Utbah et al., 2023). Data from these systems can be processed in multiple dimensions on a digitised geographical map (Balogun et al., 2011; Chaminé et al., 2021; Najibullah, 2020).

In this process, GIS data layers required by models similar to AGNPS models can be created using appropriate statistical map treatment. The data generated will subsequently become spatial information for pollution studies (Khan and Jehangir, 2023; Matejicek, 2005; Tella and Balogun, 2022; Verma et al., 2023). When air pollution attributes such as NO2, SO2, PM, and ozone (O3) are available, GIS, GPS and digitised map formats can be extracted and combined with other data such as meteorological indices reformatted as needed for various geographical and best management practices in the total environment (Badach et al., 2020; Seham et al., 2022; Yerramilli et al., 2011; Yoo, 2022).

With the increase in urbanisation, industrialisation, the number of vehicles, and other anthropogenic activities, researchers have employed more sophisticated methodologies such as machine learning, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things to solve air pollution problems (Abdul-Lateef et al., 2021; Patra et al., 2016; Zezhi et al., 2024). Several studies of atmospheric pollution by attributes such as CO, NOx, SOx, hydrocarbons (CnH2n+2), and PM, which may or may not encapsulate metal species or volatile organic residues, have been carried out all over the world (Abdulraheem et al., 2023; Daful et al., 2020; Gerard, 2021; Jyethi et al., 2016; Knepnick and Sebastian, 1990; Manisalidis et al., 2020). Such studies, including research on emerging pollutants, are becoming widespread in Nigeria (Abam and Unachukwu, 2009; Augustine, 2012; Dimari et al., 2008; Ediagbonya and Tobin, 2013; Egbuna et al., 2021; Obisesan and Weli, 2019; Omofonmwan and Osa-Edoh, 2008; Mahmud et al., 2023; Tawari and Abowei, 2012; Yalwaji et al., 2022). However, only a handful of these studies have been able to relate physical, geographical, and meteorological data into a model which can respond to best management practices (Anyika et al., 2018). The data available so far have been only a little better than baseline statistics comparing available physical concentrations of attributes with either WHO standards or FEPA equivalents. The level of air pollution monitoring or control in Nigeria is not comparable to that of large cities like Cairo, Tehran, and Johannesburg. These countries have established regular air pollution monitoring stations for many years. Therefore, the focal point of this work is to attempt an improved interpretation of air pollution assessment using GIS, GPS, and matrix algebra.

 

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Description of Study Area

Aguleri is an area north-north-east of Onitsha town bound by the coordinates 6º20ʹ30E to E6º53ʹ, and it is 24 km NNE from Onitsha main town. Aguleri, located in the River Anambra Basin, is an agrarian town with a population of about 300,000, as represented in Figure 1. The map was obtained from Google Earth using Arc View 3.0 software. Georeferencing of all data points in maps was done using GARMIN GPS 78 s chart plotting receivers. Nine locations were designated as sampling stations in Aguleri, and each designated sampling station was divided into four sampling points from where four samples were collected. The climate of Aguleri is tropical or savanna, with two distinct dry and wet seasons. It has an annual temperature of 87.66º, 1.46% higher than Nigeria’s average temperature, with annual precipitation of 8.92 inches and 71.12% of rain annually. Aguleri has an elevation of zero feet above sea level. The points in each station have been georeferenced to enable the application of GIS/GPS analysis parameters summarised in Table 1 and Table 2.

 

Table 1
Georeferenced Coordinates for the Rainy Season in Aguleri

Sampling

Station

Coordinates

Point 1

Point 2

Point 3

POINT 4

Aguleri Junction

N06º19.757ʹ

E006º52.628ʹ

N06º19.755ʹ

E006º52.601ʹ

N06º19.693ʹ

E006º52.612ʹ

N06º19.689ʹ

E006º52.640ʹ

Ifite Aguleri

N06º19.354ʹ

E006º53.212ʹ

N06º19.371ʹ

E006º53.188ʹ

N06º19.376ʹ

E006º53.212ʹ

N06º19.356ʹ

E006º53.194ʹ

Igboezuru Aguleri

N06º18.666ʹ

E006º54.622ʹ

N06º18.666ʹ

E006º54.650ʹ

N06º18.650ʹ

E006º54.645ʹ

N06º18.677ʹ

E006º54.631ʹ

Okpu Aguleri

N06º19.584ʹ

E006º53.514ʹ

N06º19.563ʹ

E006º53.547ʹ

N06º19.599ʹ

E006º53.538ʹ

N06º19.562ʹ

E006º53.524ʹ

Umuokpoto Aguleri

N06º19.758ʹ

E006º52.933ʹ

N06º19.738ʹ

E006º52.966ʹ

N06º19.736ʹ

E006º52.949ʹ

N06º19.773ʹ

E006º52.963ʹ

Enugu Otu Aguleri

N06º32.134ʹ

E006º55.279ʹ

N06º32.087ʹ

E006º55.300ʹ

N06º32.029ʹ

E006º55.319ʹ

N06º31.366ʹ

E006º55.344ʹ

Ezi Agulu Otu Aguleri

N06º21.480ʹ

E006º51.499ʹ

N06º21.489ʹ

E006º51.517ʹ

N06º21.496ʹ

E006º51.492ʹ

N06º21.450ʹ

E006º51.496ʹ

Umundeze Aguleri

N06º21.182ʹ

E006º51.290ʹ

N06º21.168ʹ

E006º51.289ʹ

N06º21.171ʹ

E006º51.302ʹ

N06º21.171ʹ

E006º51.274ʹ

Amaeze Aguleri

N06º20.570ʹ

E006º50.711ʹ

N06º20.583ʹ

E006º50.678ʹ

N06º20.565ʹ

E006º50.661ʹ

N06º20.541ʹ

E006º50.683ʹ

 

Table 2
Georeferenced Coordinates for the Dry Season in Aguleri

Sampling

Station

Coordinates

Point 1

Point 2

Point 3

Point 4

Aguleri Junction

N06º19.736ʹ

E006º52.632ʹ

N06º19.738ʹ

E006º52.608ʹ

N06º19.689ʹ

E006º52.611ʹ

N06º19.689ʹ

E006º52.637ʹ

Ifite Aguleri

N06º19.351ʹ

E006º53.213ʹ

N06º19.376ʹ

E006º53.212ʹ

N06º19.370ʹ

E006º53.193ʹ

N06º19.355ʹ

E006º53.197ʹ

Igboezuru Aguleri

N06º18.671ʹ

E006º54.631ʹ

N06º18.665ʹ

E006º54.620ʹ

N06º18.648ʹ

E006º54.654ʹ

N06º18.669ʹ

E006º54.644ʹ

Okpu Aguleri

N06º19.557ʹ

E006º53.520ʹ

N06º19.570ʹ

E006º53.539ʹ

N06º19.586ʹ

E006º53.535ʹ

N06º19.582ʹ

E006º53.521ʹ

Umuokpoto Aguleri

N06º19.740ʹ

E006º52.952ʹ

N060º19.741ʹ

E006º52.965ʹ

N06º19.765ʹ

E006º52.962ʹ

N06º19.756ʹ

E006º52.947ʹ

Enugu Otu Aguleri

N06º33.717ʹ

E006º54.104ʹ

N06º33.694ʹ

E006º54.106ʹ

N06º33.657ʹ

E006º54.115ʹ

N06º33.657ʹ

E006º54.115ʹ

Ezi Agulu Otu Aguleri

N06º21.496ʹ

E006º51.494ʹ

N06º21.490ʹ

E006º51.507ʹ

N06º21.458ʹ

E006º51.495ʹ

N06º21.470ʹ

E006º51.504ʹ

Umundeze Aguleri

N06º21.166ʹ

E006º51.291ʹ

N06º21.175ʹ

E006º51.279ʹ

N06º21.165ʹ

E006º51.292ʹ

N06º21.175ʹ

E006º51.298ʹ

Amaeze Aguleri

N06º20.574ʹ

E006º50.710ʹ

N06º20.562ʹ

E006º50.662ʹ

N06º20.567ʹ

E006º50.665ʹ

N06º20.543ʹ

E006º50.684ʹ

 

Experimental Design

Sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM10), relative humidity, and wind speed were assessed in the study area. The data obtained were applied to create the various concentration contours and model polynomial equations (matrix algebra). MATLAB 7.9 fitting software was used to plot the graph of weighted coordinates against the mean concentrations in each location in Aguleri (Pilla and Broderick, 2015; Yorkor et al., 2017).

Data Acquisition

Data were acquired by measuring in situ ground-level concentrations of SO2, NO2, and PM10 using Crowcon Gas Monitors (Model CE 89/336/EEC) and a Crowcon Particulate Monitor (Model No. 1000, Serial No. 298621) from the Imo State Environmental Protection Agency. Wind speed, direction, and relative humidity were determined using a digital meter and Environmental Meter (Model AE.09605) from Rumsey Environmental LLC at the Federal University of Technology, Owerri.

Gas analysers and sensors, Model Lancom III, manufactured by Land Instrument International Pittsburgh, PA were operated using the Thermo Electron gas analysers procedure.

The sensor components were SnO2, as used by Robert et al. (2011).

 

Figure 1 – Digitised map of study area and locations (Google Earth, 2018)

 

Calibration of Instruments Used

The sensors, initially factory calibrated, were recalibrated and stabilised using NO2 and SO2 gases, as detailed by Park et al. (2013) at the Imo State Environmental Protection Agency laboratories.

Air Quality Index (AQI)

The AQI indicates the pollution level in an area’s atmosphere by calculating the individual air quality index (IAQI) for each pollutant using Equation 1:

Here, IAQIP represents the IAQI for pollutants (PM10, SO2, NO2), CP stands for the daily mean concentration of the pollutant, BPLO and BPHI are the nearest and lowest values of CP, and IAQILO and IAQIHI are the IAQIs in terms of BPHI and BPLO as shown in Table 3. Table 3 shows that the IAQI maximum exceeds 100. After calculating the IAQIP for each pollutant, the AQI is determined by selecting the maximum IAQIP as expressed in Equation 2:

According to Anyika et al. (2018), Equation 2 shows that AQI evaluation is not the sum of all the pollutants involved but is the maximum value of IAQI obtained.

The AQI category and ratings prescribed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) for pollution evaluation are presented in Table 3.

MATLAB Model Set-Up for Pollution Analysis

The pollution characteristics model was generated by integrating the spatial and pollution attributes databases using a polynomial expression (Equation 3), with coordinates for points 1–4 forming the spatial database and the pollution index at any sampling station represented by function y, depending on pollutant concentrations, if the wind rose, and meteorological conditions, resulting in four simultaneous equations (Equations 4–7) for each station (Jiayu et al., 2018; Palomera et al., 2016; Raju et al., 2012). 

yj = k + k1x1 + k2x2 + k3x3 … + knxn

(3)

y1 = k + k1x1 + k2x2 + k3x3

(4)

y2 = k + k1x4 + k2x5 + k3x6

(5)

y3 = k +k1x7 + k2x8 + k3x9

(6)

y4 = k +k1x10 + k2x11 + k3x12

(7)

where y1 = pollution index at a given coordinate, such as point 1, k is an empirical constant k1, k2, and k3, are constants which modify the empirical pollutant concentrations and are the constants for the variables SO2, NO2 and PM10, respectively.

 

Table 3
Air Quality Index, USEPA (2000)

AQI Category

AQI Rating

Very Good (0–15)

A

Good (16–31)

B

Moderate (32–49)

C

Poor (50–99)

D

Very Poor (100 or over)

E

 

In the particular case under study, x1 was the SO2 concentration at point 1, x2 was the NO2 concentration at point 1, and x3 was the PM10 concentration at point 1.

Then, x4, x5 and x6 were the SO2, NO2, and PM10 concentrations, respectively, at point 2. x7, x8 and x9 were the SO2, NO2, and PM10 concentrations, respectively, at point 3. x10, x11 andx12 were the SO2, NO2, and PM10 concentrations, respectively, at point 4.

The solution of the set of simultaneous equations (Jiayu et al., 2018; Park et al., 2013; Palomera et al., 2016; Raju et al., 2012) can be achieved using matrix algebra where k represents the constants to be determined after solving the set of four simultaneous equations by applying matrix algebra explicitly.

where X is, therefore, the 4 × 4 matrix of which the first column was constant (i.e., 1), the second column was for the SO2 index, the third column was for the NO2 index, the fourth column was for the PM10 pollution index, yi represents the value of the coordinates at the sampling stations, and then the INPUT was xi, yi.

The function results from the solution to the simultaneous equations, which inputs xi and yi values so that the MATLAB 7.9 notation results in Equation 9 and Equation 10.

G = in v (x)

(9)

k = G*yi

(10)

where G represents the variable that outputs the inverse of the matrix X and the solutions.

 

RESULTS

Air Pollutant Concentration in Aguleri during the Rainy Season

The values presented in Table 4 and Table 5 show the average for each of the four points.

Model Development

The values of k obtained from the matrix algebra are presented in Table 6, Table 7, Table 8 and Table 9.

MATLAB-Assisted Model Development

MATLAB-assisted fitted curves for variations in the concentration of SO2, NO2, and PM10 as a function of coordinates in the Aguleri study area during rainy and dry seasons are shown in Figure 2, Figure 3, Figure 4, Figure 5, Figure 6 and Figure 7 using the Aguleri Junction study location.

 

DISCUSSION

Evaluation of Pollution Models

The data generated revealed that the Ab Initio air pollution model developed from the fitted curves (Figure 2, Figure 3, Figure 4, Figure 5, Figure 6 and Figure 7) does not match constants from Ab Initio calculations closely enough in Table 6, Table 7, Table 8 and Table 9. This could be because Ab Initio calculations were an average of all variations at a station as a linear summation.

Constants from MATLAB fitted curves represent the effect of one parameter as a pollutant at a given time and across all locations of the study area.

Therefore, to a greater extent, the above plots represent a much more theoretical evaluation of pollution as a function of a single component and in tandem with the result of a non-point source event-based medium, which accounts for the simultaneous effects of all pollution indices.

 

Table 4
Summary of Pollutant Data in Aguleri during the Rainy Season

STATION

SO2 (µg/m3)

NO2

(µg/m3)

PM10

(µg/m3)

Relative Humidity

%

Wind Speed

ms-1

Wind Direction (O)

Aguleri

Junction

12.95 ± 0.01

75.20 ± 0.03

61.25 ± 0.01

73.50 ± 0.01

1.88 ± 0.01

233.20 ± 0.02

Ifite Aguleri

7.85 ± 0.01

61.10 ± 0.01

32.00 ± 0.01

68.40 ± 0.01

1.47 ± 0.01

210.50 ± 0.02

Igboezuru Aguleri

4.15 ± 0.02

47.00 ± 0.02

22.00 ± 0.02

66.90 ± 0.01

1.65 ± 0.02

236.90 ± 0.01

Okpu Aguleri

3.00 ± 0.01

37.60 ± 0.01

20.00 ± 0.20

70.00 ± 0.02

1.50 ± 0.03

243.80 ± 0.01

Umuokpoto Aguleri

2.90 ± 0.02

42.30 ± 0.20

28.00 ± 0.01

63.80 ± 0.01

1.16 ± 0.01

240.90 ± 0.02

Enugu Otu Aguleri

0.97 ± 0.01

21.15 ± 0.01

10.25 ± 0.01

69.50 ± 0.02

1.25 ± 0.03

251.70 ± 0.02

Ezi Aguluotu Aguleri

0.95 ± 0.02

11.75 ± 0.02

5.00 ± 0.01

74.10 ± 0.01

1.07 ± 0.01

193.80 ± 0.02

Umundeze Aguleri

1.10 ± 0.02

14.10 ± 0.01

6.50 ± 0.01

68.30 ± 0.01

1.20 ± 0.02

175.50 ± 0.01

Amaeze

Aguleri

2.35 ± 0.01

44.65 ± 0.01

25.50 ± 0.01

68.50 ± 0.20

1.64 ± 0.01

197.30 ± 0.20

 

Table 5
Summary of Pollutant Data in Aguleri during the Dry Season

STATION

SO2 (µg/m3)

NO2

(µg/m3)

PM10

(µg/m3)

Relative Humidity

%

Wind Speed

ms-1

Wind Direction (O)

Aguleri

Junction

37.27 ± 0.01

131.60 ± 0.01

171.25 ± 0.01

62.90 ± 0.02

1.30 ± 0.01

202.75 ± 0.02

Ifite Aguleri

18.30 ± 0.01

103.40 ± 0.01

104.50 ± 0.01

54.70 ± 0.01

1.79 ± 0.01

200.50 ± 0.02

Igboezuru Aguleri

12.45 ± 0.02

63.45 ± 0.03

78.50 ± 0.02

53.50 ± 0.20

1.20 ± 0.01

224.75 ± 0.01

Okpu Aguleri

10.45 ± 0.01

54.05 ± 0.01

59.50 ± 0.01

56.00 ± 0.02

1.31 ± 0.01

232.25 ± 0.01

Umuokpoto Aguleri

11.15 ± 0.02

75.20 ± 0.03

69.75 ± 0.02

49.10 ± 0.01

0.76 ± 0.01

238.00 ± 0.02

Enugu Otu Aguleri

6.82 ± 0.01

42.30 ± 0.01

30.00 ± 0.01

50.70 ± 0.01

0.64 ± 0.01

218.25 ± 0.03

Ezi Aguluotu Aguleri

7.17 ± 0.02

47.00 ± 0.01

38.50 ± 0.01

52.60 ± 0.01

0.45 ± 0.01

168.50 ± 0.02

Umundeze Aguleri

6.85 ± 0.01

63.45 ± 0.01

47.00 ± 0.01

54.60 ± 0.01

1.02 ± 0.01

136.00 ± 0.01

Amaeze

Aguleri

12.45 ± 0.01

98.70 ± 0.01

64.50 ± 0.01

52.70 ± 0.01

1.57 ± 0.01

124.00 ± 0.01

 

Table 6
Summary of Explicit Polynomials Obtained as Solutions (Aguleri, rainy season)

Station

Pollution index model

Aguleri junction

0.6023–9.4×10–5SO2+1.6×10–5NO2+9.4×10–6PM10

Ifite Aguleri

0.6039+3.5×10–5SO2+4.02×10–6NO2+9.6×10–6PM10

Igboezuru Aguleri

0.6109+9.1×10–5SO2+3.0×10–6NO2–2.7×10–5PM10

Okpu Aguleri

0.6575+2.52×10–3SO2–4.011×10–1NO2+3.6×10–4PM10

Umuokpoto Aguleri

0.6044–2.5×10–4SO2+1.9×10–5NO2+5.0×10–5PM10

Enugu Otu Aguleri

0.7385–2.0×10–4SO2–5.6×10–4NO2+3.6×10–5PM10

Ezi Agulu Otu Aguleri

0.6107–1.5×10–3SO2–8.5×10–5NO2+6.0×10–5PM10

Umundeze

0.6049–5.0×10–4SO2–3.7×10–5NO2

Amaeze

0.5944+1.2×10–4SO2–3.0×10–6NO2–3.3×10–5PM10

 

Table 7
Summary of Explicit Polynomials Obtained as Solutions (Aguleri, dry season)

Station

Pollution index model

Aguleri junction

0.6020–1.5×10–5SO2+8.5×10–6NO2+1.2×10–6PM10

Ifite Aguleri

0.4609+7.9×10–3SO2–6.1×10–6NO2+3.9×10–6PM10

Igboezuru Aguleri

0.6092+4.0×10–6SO2+1.4×10–5NO2–9.0×10–5PM10

Okpu Aguleri

0.6100–3.8×10–5SO2+6.0×10–6NO2–1.4×10–4PM10

Umuokpoto Aguleri

0.6053+7.2×10–5SO2+2.0×10–6NO2–5.0×10–6PM10

Enugu Otu Aguleri

0.7319+1.15×10–4SO2–2.5×10–5NO2–8.0×10–5PM10

Ezi Agulu Otu Aguleri

0.6090+1.4×10–4SO2+2.4×10–5NO2–8.0×10–5PM10

Umundeze

0.6054–7.4×10–4SO2–2.1×10–5NO2–5.0×10–5PM10

Amaeze

0.5869–5.8×10–5SO2–5.3×10–6NO2+1.25×10–4PM10

 

Table 8
k Values obtained as simulated linearisation of pollution indices (Aguleri, rainy season)

Station

K

k1

k2

k3

Aguleri junction

0.6023

–0.000094

0.000016

0.0000094

Ifite Aguleri

0.6039

0.000035

0.00000402

0.0000096

Igboezuru Aguleri

0.6109

0.000091

0.000003

–0.000027

Okpu

0.6575

0.00252

–0.4011

0.00036

Umuokpoto Aguleri

0.6044

–0.00025

0.000019

0.00005

Enugu Otu Aguleri

0.7385

–0.0002

–0.00056

0.000036

Ezi Agulu Otu Aguleri

0.6107

–0.0015

–0.000085

0.00006

Umundeze

0.6049

–0.0005

–0.000037

0

Amaeze

0.5944

0.00012

–0.000003

–0.000033

 

Table 9
k Values obtained as simulated linearisation of pollution indices (Aguleri, dry season)

Station

K

k1

k2

k3

Aguleri junction

0.6020

–0.000015

0.0000085

0.0000012

Ifite Aguleri

0.4609

0.0079

–0.0000061

0.0000039

Igboezuru Aguleri

0.6092

0.000004

0.000014

0.000009

Okpu Aguleri

0.6100

–0.000038

0.000006

–0.000014

Umuokpoto Aguleri

0.6053

0.000072

0.000002

–0.000005

Enugu Otu Aguleri

0.7319

0.000151

–0.000025

–0.00008

Ezi Agulu Out Aguleri

0.6090

0.00014

0.000024

–0.00008

Umundeze Aguleri

0.6054

–0.00074

–0.000021

–0.00005

Amaeze Aguleri

0.5869

–0.000058

–0.0000053

0.000125

 

Figure 2 – MATLAB Curve of SO2 for Aguleri Junction, Aguleri (rainy season)

 

Figure 3 – MATLAB Curve of SO2 for Aguleri Junction, Aguleri (dry season)

 

Figure 4 – MATLAB Curve of NO2 for Aguleri Junction, Aguleri (rainy season)

 

Figure 5 – MATLAB Curve of NO2 for Aguleri Junction, Aguleri (dry season)

 

Figure 6 – MATLAB Curve of PM10 for Aguleri Junction, Aguleri (rainy season)

 

Figure 7 – MATLAB Curve of PM10 for Aguleri Junction, Aguleri (dry season)

 

In order to achieve this, the pollution indices were treated as objects in geographical space and location and their respective positions were monitored by the application of GIS/GPS contour mapping of concentration densities, as shown below.

Application of GIS/GPS Mapping of Concentration Densities of Pollutants

The concentration range of pollutants in Aguleri was 50%, as presented typically for Point 1 in Figure 8, Figure 9 and Figure 10. The corresponding three-dimensional (3D) surface plot in Figure 8 of the Aguleri junction was mononodal, and the area of very low NO2 concentration was clearly shown in the colour scheme. The surface plot in Figure 10 for PM10 at the same point in Aguleri was significant because the concentration of PM10 was shown to be very low at 6.43ºN and 6.92E.

The difference between the two GIS plots of NO2 was that the GIS plot of Figure 8 is two-dimensional, while the GIS surface plot of Figure 9 is 3D and gives a clearer view of the pollution vector density at the sampling stations for NO2 for Aguleri at point 1 for the rainy season. It gives the view of real life.

Effect of pollutant characteristics as a function of meteorological parameters

Air pollutant concentrations as a function of meteorological parameters, as shown in Figure 11 and Figure 12, revealed that over 50% of relative humidity affects the dispersion (concentrations) of the selected pollutants in all the nine sampling stations, and the variations were in the order of  for the rainy season but  for the dry season.

 

Figure 8 – GIS Surface Plot of NO2 for Aguleri (rainy season) Point 1

 

Figure 9 – GIS Surface Plot of SO2 for Aguleri (dry season) Point 1

 

Figure 10 – GIS Surface Plot of PM10 for Aguleri (Rainy Season) Point 1

 

The wind speed was observed to be very low (< 10 m/s) and had little or no impact on the selected pollutants.

However, the effect of wind speed was more pronounced in the dry season than in the rainy season. Relative humidity varies directly with elevation; therefore, lower elevation gives lower relative humidity, less dispersion, and higher pollutant concentrations.

Many meteorological parameters vary inversely with air pollutant concentrations (Anyika et al., 2018; Rahman et al., 2006)

 

Figure 11 – Effect of meteorological parameters on the average concentration of pollutants during the rainy season

 

Figure 12 – Effect of meteorological parameters on the average concentration of pollutants during the dry season

 

AQI

The results of the AQI, as presented in Table 10 and Table 11, Figure 13 and Figure 14, show that all the locations in both the rainy and dry seasons were below a 50 AQI rating.

A cursory look at the air quality of the study locations using the rating by USEPA (2000) for determining ambient air quality in Table 3 showed that the AQI rating for all the stations in the Aguleri study area for both rainy and dry seasons was very good (A category) with the exception of Aguleri Junction and Ifite Aguleri which had an AQI rating of good (B category).

The good AQI ratings of two areas suggest that these areas have fewer anthropogenic activities, while the very good AQI ratings of other areas suggest these areas have very few anthropogenic activities from very few vehicles and the absence of industries.

The AQI rating of good indicates no general health effect on the general public, but extreme measures must be taken to avoid incidences of hazardous activities.

 

Table 10
Air quality index of Aguleri (rainy season)

Sampling Stations

Point 1

Point 2

Point 3

Point4

Description

Aguleri Junction

28.00

27.20

25.40

23.40

good

Ifite Aguleri

22.00

20.30

20.30

19.42

good

Igboezuru Aguleri

7.00

8.00

6.80

7.80

very good

Okpu Aguleri

5.00

6.00

5.60

6.60

very good

Umuokpoto Aguleri

3.00

5.00

5.50

5.45

very good

Enugu-Out Aguleri

3.50

4.00

4.00

4.40

very good

Ezi Agulu Out Aguleri

3.70

3.00

3.00

3.00

very good

Umundeze Aguleri

2.50

2.90

2.50

2.50

very good

Amaeze Aguleri

2.00

2.00

2.00

2.00

very good

 

Figure 13 – Air quality index of Aguleri (rainy season)

 

Table 11
Air quality index of Aguleri (dry season)

Sampling Stations

Point 1

Point 2

Point 3

Point4

Description

Aguleri Junction

32.00

31.70

32.50

29.80

good

Ifite Aguleri

29.00

28.50

26.00

25.00

good

Igboezuru Aguleri

8.50

8.50

6.00

7.50

very good

Okpu Aguleri

6.50

6.50

6.00

6.90

very good

Umuokpoto Aguleri

6.50

6.50

5.60

6.60

very good

Enugu-Out Aguleri

3.50

3.50

2.00

2.50

very good

Ezi Agulu Out Aguleri

5.2

5.20

2.00

4.20

very good

Umundeze Aguleri

7.1

7.10

7.00

6.10

very good

Amaeze Aguleri

5.7

5.70

7.00

4.70

very good

 

Figure 14 – Pollution index (air quality index) of Aguleri I (dry season)

 

CONCLUSIONS

This study has shown that the evaluation of pollution models generated from ab initio constants obtained as an average of all variations at a station in a linear summation was more reliable than constants from fitted curves, which were a function of a single component. It has been shown that GIS contour surface plots used to obtain air pollution characteristics on surfaces gave more reliable data than tabulated values.

This study reveals that GIS vector density plots for air pollution characteristics can be used to predict air pollution as a function of industrial clustering. The solution of model polynomials representing air pollution characteristics can be used to predict pollution attributes as a function of data space. The predictor constants generated by solving the model simultaneous equations using MATLAB 7.9 representing modifiers of air pollution were efficient. The study has demonstrated the predictive power of GIS/GPS in the rendering of air pollution in terms of objects in data space and their interaction with meteorological parameters. The meteorological variables like relative humidity serve as effective scavengers for SO2, NO2 and PM10 pollutants and vary in both rainy and dry seasons. The information obtained from this study could lead to best environmental management practices and the establishment of efficient pollution control departments, as in many developed and advanced countries. However, some limitations encountered in this study were predominantly difficulties in the collection of the samples due to the hostility of youth in Aguleri and difficulties measuring with instruments and digital sensors from the various environmental agencies. In future air pollution assessments, this study recommends using more mathematical analysis involving polynomial equations as formulated, which should be performed by iteration.

 

Author Contributions: Conceptualization by ALC and OC; methodology by ALC; analysis by ALC; investigation by ALC; resources ALC; data curation by ALC and OC; writing by ALC and OC, review by OC. All authors declare that they have read and approved the publication of the manuscript in this present form.

Funding: There was no external funding for this study.

Acknowledgments: The authors deeply appreciate the assistance of the Department of Mechanical Engineering, Federal University of Technology Owerri for providing apparatuses used for this sophisticated study and the staff and management Imo State Environmental Protection Agency (ISEPA) for providing gas monitors.

Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare non-existence of any interest(s).

 

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Anyika Leonard Chukwuemeka, Obi Chidi